Artificial Intelligence 2025-2040: Foresight Synthesis of Political Economy, Sociotechnical Systems, and Democratic Governance

Volume 10|Issue 10| Jul 2026 |Future Issues

Abstract

Over the next fifteen years (2025-2040), Artificial Intelligence is likely to operate as a system-level force, reshaping prediction, generation, and coordination across labour markets, public administration, and geopolitical competition. Drawing on key works covering alignment, control, political economy, critical AI studies, practical governance, robotics, and experimental trend reports, this paper prevents a forward-looking evidence-based assessment of the period ahead. It examines the core domains of labour, restructuring, governance, politics, ethics, rights, capabilities, constraints, geopolitics, and security; plus an additional overarching theme of information integrity and democracy. The article focuses on how AI structurally changes incentives, organizational forms, and power, while assessing structural impacts according to near-, medium-, and long-term phases. It concludes by identifying swing factors – such as computing governance, institutional capacity, and geopolitical shocks – that could structurally and durably alter these projections.​​

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Researcher at Arab Center for Research and Policy Studies.

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